Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Politics. Show all posts

Friday, March 2, 2012

Bad logic on Schenectady's city body shop

I read in the paper that Schenectady might close the body shop in the municipal garage, which repairs damage to city owned vehicles. This supposedly results from an insurance change, providing a very high deductible on collision coverage to city vehicles, which in turn is a result of numerous at-fault accidents related to persistent poor driving by operators of those vehicles.

Currently the operation of the shop is paid for by settlements from the insurance carrier for the vehicles, and the high deductible will eliminate most of those payments, as the city essentially self insures for most mishaps. No settlement money to pay for the body shop results in closing the shop. It all sounds logical if you don't think about it.

The problem is, that now the city will have to pay for repairs itself. And presumably the body shop has been doing repairs for less than the independent repair shops, so why does it make sense to pay those same outside shops to fix damage when you pay for it yourself instead of using an insurance settlement? Has someone forgotten "a penny saved is a penny earned?" Unless the city plans to leave the damage unfixed and have the city workers going about in unsafe junkers until they are sold by the pound as scrap instead of as used cars, someone has to fix them! And if internal repairs are more cost effective, then how does it make sense to spend more elsewhere, and give up the control over the quality and scheduling that doing repairs yourself brings?

I'd like to think common sense will prevail, the city paid to set up the shop, to the extent that numbers are available to the public it looks as if it saves money, and the only reason to shut down the body shop would be because the city vehicles were having fewer accidents. I'd rather see that demonstrated by results than assumed as a given because it sounds good to say "retrain drivers to have fewer accidents." I'm a skeptic, and once the body shop is closed, even if it will save money the cost of restarting may negate the savings and force the city to use more expensive commercial repair services. Leave it open for six months after the proposed retraining takes place, then decide the best course. As a taxpayer I love to see my money spent wisely, but control over the entire repair process has value, too. The city should quantify the results of driver training (why didn't they do training originally?) before declaring success and deciding that the municipal body shop is no longer needed.

Monday, February 27, 2012

Diminishing returns for ads

I have to believe that the "law of diminishing returns" applies strongly to TV ads. The more often any given ad appears on TV the less people are willing to pay attention. A little observation will support this. Watching Monday Night Football in a sports bar, the number of people who got up to order food or drinks or visit the rest rooms was fairly constant until a commercial was replayed. Then people stopped watching the TV and found something else to do. Even when people didn't leave the table they turned to look at those at the table with them instead of the TV.

It was not just the transition from action to commercial, either. I thought it might be caused by the "here's a good time to release pressure" response, and in fact that was easily observed. But the people remaining at the table often talked while watching the screen until the first repeated commercial came on, then started looking at each other. The interesting thing about that is that watching the screen generally didn't resume until the action came back on, or a commercial featuring scantily clad models or fast cars. No surprise there.

I have two conclusions from this and a few similar observations. First, that every repetition of the same or very similar ad moves from vague interest to disinterest, then to dislike. Thinking about TV and groups, the MUTE button is likely to be used about the third time an ad comes in in a short time.

The second observation is that once people stop paying attention to the commercial, they tend to continue disinterest until the actual program comes on. So one repetitious ad can not only cause disinterest (and eventually actual hostility) but will render following commercials and public service announcements less effective. I wonder if one of those smart DVR boxes which drop commercials could be set to let (or make) you see each commercial once, then skip it every time it comes on from that point forward.

Wednesday, February 1, 2012

America is being attacked by religious radicals

Once again Americans may die from attacks by fundamentalist religious groups attempting to force their views on the rest of us. Only now it isn't foreign radical Muslim groups, but US fundamentalist factions determined to force their practices on the rest of us. And while we see it locally, it reflects a lack of tolerance in the US as a whole and in foreign countries as well.

At the Shenendehowa High School, the deceptively named Shenendehowa Parent's Choice Coalition is trying to force their choice, ignorance,on the rest of the student body. These parents could withdraw their own children from the course, but instead choose to impose abstinence only "sex ed" on everyone. The "Parents Choice" group is blocking choice by other parents, and adding the risk that sexually active teens (statistically the vast majority) will not be taught to avoid the many risks of pregnancy or getting a sexually transmitted disease, possibly one which will require lifelong care or be fatal. And since over 40% of teen teen pregnancies end in abortion or miscarriage, there are significant health risks to these children. Nationally over 15% of all new HIV cases reported, and about half of all STDs reported are in people in the under 24 group.

The sad truth is that these parents not only risk their own children, but every child in that school who remains ignorant. Learning about sex "on the street" is a good way to learn about the mechanics of sex, but a poor way to learn about safety. Where did this "Parents Choice" religious group get the right to to choose ignorance for other people's children?

Looking at this issue, I found on a Midwest station call-in show an interview with a mother who belonged to a similar group in the greater Chicago area. The reporter asked if this woman's daughter had been vaccinated against the cancer causing human papilloma virus (HPV). The parent replied that "My daughter will remain a virgin until her wedding night, marry a virgin, and she doesn't need a vaccine that promotes promiscuous behavior." I sure hope she's right about that behavior! Another caller called pregnancy and disease "God's judgement on sinners."

After hiring failed gubernatorial candidate and anti-abortion activist Karen Handel as senior vice president of public policy, the Susan G. Komen for the Cure foundation, a leading breast cancer group adopted a policy preventing funding for groups under investigation for misuse of funds. Then Representative Cliff Stearns, a Florida Republican and chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Oversight and Investigations Subcommittee, started an investigation to see if Planned Parenthood had used federal funds for abortion. That investigation seems to have been tabled "waiting for documents," leaving a stalled investigation, no need to prove wrongdoing, and thus permanently blocking funding for breast exams benefiting women who choose Planned Parenthood for their gynecological care.

The funding from the Komen groups was used solely for breast health examinations, not for any other activity of Planned Parenthood.

In Ohio, Amish terrorists (I couldn't make that up that term) from "a renegade Amish sect" are kidnapping church members who disagreed on interpretations of faith and shaving the beards of men and raping women "to keep sect members in line." The group attacked victims in three states. What's next, an Amber Alert on a horse and buggy?

In the south the Westboro Baptist Church has been disrupting the funerals of soldiers killed in action. This group has made the war into a gay rights issue in their minds, possibly confusing "don't ask don't tell" with "don't think, don't care" before you demonstrate. And a sympathetic judge has said this is a legitimate expression of their religious rights, free speech rights, or the right to do whatever you want as long as you hate homosexuals. So far no law enforcement group has used the "inciting to riot" laws employed against other demonstrators.

In Israel an article in 972 magazine tells us that a group of ultra orthodox children is reported to have verbally attacked and spat upon an eight year old girl for wearing secular garb. This lack of tolerance is not just in the USA, although it seems more shocking here compared to the tolerant attitudes of only a few years ago.


The overall trend in all of this is that more and more religious groups who hold beliefs that their version of "God's laws" trumps secular legislatures and courts. In some cases they attack only peace of mind, but in others they expose women to the very disease they ask us to fight by giving them money, or put other people's children at risk of unprotected sex in the effort to force everyone to live by some group's beliefs and rules.

The right to free speech never included the right to force others to listen, where have our courts gone wrong that this made up right trumps the ones in the Constitution.

Thursday, January 26, 2012

Psychiatrists want to make grief an illness

The NY Times reports that grieving the loss of a friend, family or loved one may soon be considered a form of depression. The American Psychiatric Association is proposing that grief be classified as a type of depression, and reported as such in the standard reference work in the field, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, or DSM.

This change would be good for doctors, some insurance plans which cover treatment of mental illness would now pay for treatment of grief, doctors could prescribe psychoactive drugs for it, and people who work in fields requiring sanity could suddenly find that it was harder or impossible to get a security clearance, job working with children, gun permit, visa into some countries, etc.

Proponents claim that it would result in better care for those debilitated by grief, which should be covered by the current symptoms of depression, sleep loss, loss of concentration, inability to handle self care, pay their bills, or continue to work effectively. It's hard to tell if this would improve the health of the patient or that of the doctor's bank account.

How many times do we see some violent criminal described as "cold and heartless, never showed any emotions?" I am more likely to question the normalcy of someone who doesn't feel grief than someone who does. Let's not stigmatize people with normal grief, whether from greed or the belief that normal human emotions need to be "treated," it's a bad idea.

Revisions to the DSM are also being discussed which would narrow the definition of autism, which in some cases would result in loss of insurance coverage for treatment. Proponents say that children "just at an awkward stage" should not be labeled autistic.

Followup: there is a really detailed article on this in Health+Fitness, as well as a overview article on inquisitr.com. There is an article in the NY Times, and AP coverage was carried in many local papers, some with comments from local physicians. Feel free to report other good links in comments.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

No time to skimp - SUVs for evidence techs

As a long time SUV owner[1], I have a good understanding of what difference an SUV can make in shortening travel time in bad weather, and in making travel possible at all when the destination is not on a paved road.  So I speak from experience when I say that Schenectady should stop dithering over cost and get an SUV for use by the "on call" evidence tech.

I see no need for each tech to have an SUV, the purpose is to make sure a very necessary trained person can get to a crime scene, not to provide transportation in lieu of a personal vehicle for the entire staff. Government workers should bear the same responsibility as everyone else for arranging to get to work at their normal location and hours, but when "get to work" isn't the same place or same hours all the time, the one tech on call should have a vehicle suited to the demands of the job, which require going anywhere, any time of the day or night, any day of the week, and promptly. While bringing with them whatever special equipment is needed. Requiring any employee to have a personal vehicle like that is unreasonable, it is special equipment and should be provided.

It would seem even more reasonable to have two vehicles like that, one at home with the on call tech outside of working hours, and one waiting in the Foster Avenue "Garage Mahal" the city built recently. Planning for one vehicle to be unavailable occasionally is good management, vehicles need maintenance, crimes don't always happen one at a time, and a backup would be a reasonable precaution. But it should be the reserve, in the garage, not someone's personal perk or as a spare ride for the garage workers. By alternating the use of vehicles, the mileage will be spread between them, and should be low. That should make these a long term investment rather than something which needs to be replaced frequently.

An SUV is a heavy duty vehicle, its extra capabilities justify the bad mileage and somewhat higher cost of such transportation. Note that I am talking about a "real SUV," and while marketing people may try to deceive the public by calling an all wheel drive (AWD) station wagon such as the Explorer an SUV, it's not. Lest we forget, the "U" is for "utility," and that includes body on frame, a two speed transfer case, robust load rating, high ground clearance, and rear wheel drive. See below for why these features matter. Vehicles such as the Chevy Suburban and Ford Expedition are built on truck frames, and are big, heavy, expensive, rough riding, and capable. Two SUVs make sense for evidence techs, more don't, and lesser vehicles would compromise their ability to the do the job.

In case anyone suggests just getting a few trucks and putting caps on them, I did consider that myself, but it seems like a poor way to save money. First, big capable trucks aren't that much cheaper than an SUV. And an SUV has a lot of marginal utility. That's a term which refers to things it can do which an alternative could not. Compared to a truck, the SUV holds longer evidence with seats folded, and can provide at least some climate control for evidence. And the ability to carry extra passengers into a remote crime scene is valuable, ask any detective how they feel about walking a half mile or more in mud, or rain, or bitter cold. Carrying passengers in some cases will save time, and if those passengers are medical personnel, might save a life. The advantages of an SUV justify the cost, it's just a more adaptable vehicle.

Why SUV features are beneficial:
  • body on frame - easier to attach special equipment to the frame, easier to fix if getting to a remote crime scene results in undercarriage or cosmetic damage.
  • two speed transfer case - allows the vehicle to be safely used to move things at a scene to gain access, and remove obstacles preventing preservation of evidence. Also useful for pulling stuck official vehicles out of the mud at a crime scene.
  • high load rating - because evidence isn't always light.
  • high ground clearance - one of the things which really helps travel over bad or nonexistent roads, prevents getting "high centered" with the frame on an obstacle and wheels off the ground.
  • rear wheel drive - because equipment and evidence go in the back, because weight shifts to the rear going up hills, because trailers (if needed) put weight on the back. You don't always drive in four wheel drive.
 [1] I have been driving an SUV since 1973, and owned an AWD station wagon (Subaru) at one time as well. I spent 12 years working out of town an making a 100+ mile commute in whatever weather there was, first daily and later three times a week, and I wound up putting about 100k miles on several SUVs. I used to regularly go fishing and camping with my family, often dozens of miles from the nearest paved road. For several years I had a truck with a plow and did driveways and small parking lots.

Tuesday, January 10, 2012

What is with Schenectady Mayoral Candidates?

Full disclosure: I know both of these recent candidates,  and have worked with both of them on neighborhood association issues.

Recently barely defeated candidate Roger Hull wrote a very critical piece for the news recently, in which he complains that there should have been a recount after the very close race for mayor, and that Gary McCarthy is "double dipping" by accepting a public  pension while seeking (and winning) an elected public office. I'll talk about those point in a moment, but the whole tone of the piece sounded like whining loser rather than game changing third party founder.

During the race Gary McCarthy refused to approve permits to allow other people to collect signatures on petitions for Roger Hull, a process which has been rubber stamped by both parties for years. Even Hull's son was refused a permit, which served no good purpose, as enough signatures were collected, but did offend a number of voters, who were not shy about saying so. I heard that in College Park, I heard it in Woodlawn, and I heard it in the Stockade. Doing something which offends even people who are inclined to like you isn't good politics.

Recounting the votes

I completely agree that the vote should have been recounted in this case, not because it would have changed the result, but because it would have avoided speculation about vote irregularities, particularly those caused by unplugging and moving the machines at Schenectady High, which certainly introduced doubts because poll watchers for other candidates couldn't be in two places at once to monitor the handling of the machines both inside and outside the school. While I don't believe the conspiracy theories about the bomb scare being a trick to get the machines moved, it looks questionable, and since people are talking about the origin of the call, someone must believe it was a dirty trick.

Double dipping

Unless voters have a problem with the idea of someone retiring and drawing a pension from one job while working another, I don't see why this point was raised. Usually the term is used to refer to someone who retires from a job and then continue to do the same job as a "consultant." Clearly that's not the case here, and while Gary McCarthy is putting more money in his pocket by retiring to take the mayor's job, it does save the city money by not having to pay for some benefits. Score that one a win-win, big win for the mayor, small win for the city. And probably overall a small win for the taxpayers as a whole, Given the number of retired people working a little because the pension isn't going very far, I don't think the public is going to see this as a problem.

I have two wishes about Schenectady politics, the first being the new third party continue to field viable candidates and keep the council on its best behavior, and second that the next election be more civil in tone and focused on issue, because "I like his solutions" is what you want to hear, not terms like "lesser of two evils." And having people turn out because they actually think their vote makes a difference is refreshing, I hope that continues. It's been about a decade since I heard people saying "I'm glad I voted" or "I should have voted" after an election.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

Thank you Joe Allen

For the last eight years or so, my wife Pat Davidsen was President of the College Park Neighborhood Association, and on many occasions had discussions with members of the Schenectady City Council about both the issues of the association and other city policies of interest to taxpayers. She had strong opinions about many of the members of the council, which she shared with those council members on occasion when she felt that one or another of them was not putting the best interests of the residents first in their decision making.

She passed away recently, and perhaps she was not as outspoken with the council members who did do a good job, who did return phone calls, and who did make an effort to listen to arguments opposing the direction of the city policy. Councilman Joe Allen is retiring after this council term, and I would just like to say that if she never told you in person that she approved of the way you served, let me say it for her, thank you Joe Allen, and have a pleasant retirement.